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Archive for the ‘Development’ Category

Deflation articles: Whoppers and meltdown

by henrycopeland
Saturday, January 25th, 2003

You know I like to beat the claxon about deflation. For some good anecdotes about the phenomena, see David Leonhard’s story; among other things, he notes that the price of Burger King’s Whopper has declined by a third in the last twenty years. And if you want to look under deflation’s hood, don’t miss Megan McArdle’s explanation of the pernicious economics of deflation. In short, “the mechanism for generating money starts to break down.”

CraigsList, Blogads and GE

by henrycopeland
Friday, January 24th, 2003

The NYTimes profiles CraigsList, the famed free classifieds site started in San Fransisco in 1995. The only revenues come from job listings for SF, but now suffice to cover costs including 14 staffers.

CraigsList is doing 200 million page impressions a month in SF alone, according to the article. What the article doesn’t highlight is that this traffic (in what some New Yorkers would consider a backwater media market) is not far below that of America’s top news site — yes, NYTimes.com — which is running around 300 million page views a month. Ahh, context.

Wonder what the CraigsList’s monthly page views look like across its dozen markets? Here’s a graph of the growth of NY apartment listings. Looks exponential to me.

As CraigsList chews the belly out of newspapers’ core market, where does Blogads fit into the new media ecosystem? I’d say that “hubness” (like hipness, but more business) will be the thing that differentiates blogs from other media and gives hub bloggers premium CPMs. These blogs will be key venues for those advertisers who not only want clicks or branding, but who want to be seen to be “at the center.” So good blog ads will be like the billboards on Times Square — more expensive in terms of eyeballs, but good value for telling competitors, business partners and customers “we’re serious.”

Fading industrial powerhouse GE won’t run any of its newly bought 500 million Imagination ad impressions on blogs, but the entrepreneurs who are tomorrow’s megabusinesses — e-book publishers, software programmers, gadget vendors, eBay traders, e-commerce gurus — will understand the unique value of advertising where ideas happen, rather than where they get reported.

Young media versus old monopolies

by henrycopeland
Friday, January 24th, 2003

Why is the UK press so much spicier than the American? Former FT scribe and new New York news monger Nick Denton offers a good guess.

Blogads developments

by henrycopeland
Thursday, January 23rd, 2003

Some work for a big publishing client and a necessary but arduous software/hardware upgrade put us into hibernation for the last six weeks. Now we’re back! We’ve just created a CSS adstrip, which simplifies design customization from the blogger’s side. Today, we’ve also revived optional comments on ads, something we experimented with a few month ago. Comments are working well on sites like Fark and Kuro5hin and should exponentiate clickthrus on ads for artistic works. (Although some artists won’t like everything that gets said about their work!) You can see the CSS adstrip at right and use the comments feature on the Blogcritics ad.

Also, we’ve just reorganized the order page to a) give priority to bigger sites and b) make it easier for advertisers to comparison shop. (The page view estimate come from the number of times each adstrip is served from our server.) If you want to support great bloggers, please feel free to link into the page. Here’s that URL again — http://www.blogads.com/order_html — so you can copy/paste right now.

One marketing-savvy blogger, Olivier Travers at Scifan, now nets an incredible average of $20 per CPM on his Blogads. This blows even leading publishers like the WSJ.com out of the water, especially since Olivier doesn’t have to underwrite the ad salespeople, Oracle DBAs, Vignette licenses, copy editors and lackeys who bleed “real” new media operations. How much does Olivier sweat to sell ads? He mentions the ads to every author and PR person who contacts him. The rest of the time he focuses on dominating his niche.

The Layne diet for Salon…

by henrycopeland
Wednesday, January 22nd, 2003

Doing some free consulting for one-time high-flying Internet magazine Salon, Ken Layne suggests cutting the staff of 50 to 8. “Get out of that ritzy office space — two floors? — and take 1,500 square feet above a bar in Chinatown. Hold meetings at the bar.” I remember visiting Ken in the dingy offices of his protoblog Tabloid back in… 1998 was it? Salon would be rolling in dough (and Dow?) if it had copied that strategy.

“Sit Down diner mystery deepens”

by henrycopeland
Wednesday, January 22nd, 2003

My daughter and her friends are abuzz with news that the owner of a spiffy local diner has vanished. They are doing Google searches and hypothesizing about his possible whereabouts. The owner didn’t tell anyone he was shutting down, changed his cell-phone number, stopped ordering food and then didn’t return from one week being “closed for repairs.” The whole thing is right out of Nancy Drew.

Blue light blackout

by henrycopeland
Wednesday, January 22nd, 2003

E&P reports: “David Keyes was just about to turn in his 2003 annual budget last week for the Bonner County Daily Bee, a 4,701-daily-circulation newspaper in Sandpoint, Idaho, when his secretary slipped him a message that made him blanch: Sandpoint’s Kmart was among the 326 stores chosen to close as part of the retailer’s plan to exit bankruptcy. Since it opened in 1990, the Sandpoint store has come to be the Daily Bee’s fifth-largest advertiser, accounting for about 8% of the Hagadone Corp. paper’s ad revenue.” As the tides shift, so shift the sands we build on.

Traffic does grow on trees…

by henrycopeland
Tuesday, January 21st, 2003

Nick Denton notes that gadget blog Gizmodo is now pulling 50,000+ page views a week, just five months after launch. Marketing consisted of “an email to a few webloggers and reporters.” In addition to NY-gossip blog Gawker, Nick is looking to launch an “erotic blog.” With New York, tech and sex covered, has Nick exhausted the genre? Naw, I think 10,000 angles can dance from this pixel.

(That was my attempt to play off the phrase “angels dancing on the head of a pin”… I didn’t succeed, did I?)

Bowling, Dot.con, LA weekly

by henrycopeland
Monday, January 20th, 2003

I escorted my son to Diego’s bowling birthday party yesterday. The ten kids loved it. I haven’t been in a bowling alley since 1991. In a stroke a genius, the bowling industry has added kid-friendly gutter guards that steer the ball out of the gutter and into the pins. In this gutterless world, velocity wins: the high scorers (avg 72) threw a little harder than the laggards (avg 65) and also finished earlier.

I also finished Ken Layne’s Dot.con this weekend. Layne has concocted a unique cocktail of Ian Fleming’s suave and bruised hero, John Kennedy Toole‘s conspiring idiots and Evelyn Waugh’s disgust for mediocre sycophantic journalists. The roast of San Fran culture also excels.

Unfortunately, you’ll have to wait to read the book in e-book format, since Ken is all sold out and US publishers haven’t bitten. As I said the other day — why hasn’t this been made into a movie? Yes, the book probably is mistaken as “another dot.com bubble” book. Too few publishers understand that Jesus Ramirez is the future of journalism and not a confused millennial blip. It also may be that Ken’s book will get “rediscovered” in ten years. Books like The Sun Also Rises and The Great Gatsby that were published ten years after the era they chronicle a) look like the result of lots of hard work and b) benefit from mild nostalgia.

Speaking of secret agents, now the LA newpaper plot is public!

Expat bloggers, etc…

by henrycopeland
Thursday, January 16th, 2003

Steve Carlson has posted an interview with yours truly on his new Digital Entrepreneur site. My favorite question was about post-expat bloggers. I argue: “So perhaps the meta characteristic for great bloggers is ‘outsiderness.’ Because they don’t have big career or conceptual investments in the status quo, outsiders can better imagine trajectories in blogging. And because they are outsiders, they’ve got a grudge and are more motivated to put blogging’s unique features to revolutionary use.”


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