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Archive for the ‘Development’ Category

Layne de Noon

by henrycopeland
Saturday, November 22nd, 2008

Few things better than Wonkette deconstricting Peggy Noonan’s weekly column.

Journalism bailout?

by henrycopeland
Saturday, November 22nd, 2008

Six Apart has launched a grand sounding scheme to rescue journalists from their capsizing employers. Simon Owens, writing for PBS’s MediaShift, forced me to think hard about the scheme. Turns out I gave it low odds of success:

Copeland told me that journalists — even good ones — often don’t adapt well to blogging. The medium requires more than good writing and reporting skills. You also have to know how to network and promote your content, something about which many journalists are clueless.

“Journalism is kind of like being a monologist, and journalists are very used to pontificating,” he said. “And I know a lot of people think that’s just what bloggers do, but bloggers are more like someone in an improv theater group. It’s just a different skill set.”

What makes a blog successful, Copeland argued, is its personality — or rather the blogger’s ability to connect that personality to his readership. Though he wouldn’t go so far as to say that these laid-off journalists weren’t cut out to be bloggers, he said at the very least they would need to understand that in the blogosphere you often have to become your own marketer.

“There’s just an awful lot of competition, which these people have not experienced recently,” Copeland said. “At a newspaper the competition is really at the corporate level, and once you’ve won your slot as the metro reporter for City Hall, you might have competition with one other reporter in the town, you might have zero competitors — either way it’s not very competitive. And for every 100 reporters that look for jobs online, only one of them is going to be paying the rent a year from now. And whether that’s with Six Apart or Blogads or Federated [Media], that’s really beside the point. The point is that only one of them will have an appreciable audience that can be monetized.

When we created Blogads in 2002, we dreamed of saving journalists from the inevitable collapse of their uneconomical employers. Turns out a lot of what I wrote then has come true:

As an information processor, the blogosphere superfluizes old media’s expensive and carefully constructed infrastructures and franchises.

Suddenly, Vivendi, AOL-Time Warner, EMAP and Newscorp are factories whose economies of scale are swamped by infinity, networks that have come unplugged, refrigerator salesmen trudging into the next ice age.

And

The old economics of media – he who controls distribution wins the most readers and serves advertisers best – will be plowed under by a new economics – she who relates best attracts the most valuable audience. (Since relate means connect and tell.)

The metrics do not yet exist to describe the blogosphere’s commercial potential. Anyone who blogs knows we are operating in a new dimension beyond brand or marketing footprint. The newspaper or TV station with 10 viewers has, um, let’s count them, 10 connections. The blogger read by nine other bloggers participates in a network of up to 45 direct human relationships. (I don’t know the formula — draw ten dots in a circle, connect each dot to every other dot, then count the lines.) 1,000 bloggers generate more communication value than 100,000 readers.

(Sure, a power law distribution may result, but the possibility of 500 million bloggers boggles traditional media — 10 blogs each may serve 100 million unique users a day, 1000 each will serve 10 million readers a day, 100,000 each will serve 1 million readers a day, 10 million will draw 1000 readers a day and 489,898,990 will serve 100 readers a day.)

Blogs serve passionate, activist citizens who eat, drink, drive, argue, influence and buy more voraciously than their couch-potato neighbors. (The blogger’s energy is a cause and effect of blogging, I think.) Blog readers, wired to value peer knowledge over brand, are a prime audience for new messages.

The blogosphere’s self-organized networks offer adventurous advertisers the opportunity to target unique and previously unarticulated demographics.

Advertising in a blog or blogset will enable an advertiser quickly to communicate with a critical mass of thinkers.

Too many words, but the sentiments were right. (Particularly if you substitute “social media” for “blogosphere.”)

Crowd-sourcing the selection of fourth Suxorz panelist

by henrycopeland
Thursday, November 20th, 2008

The Suxorz has been approved for SXSW ’09!

The Suxorz panel, for those of you who weren’t in Austin last year, seeks to identify and vilify the year’s worst social media marketing campaigns. Last year, we did three rounds of four nominations, with each round followed by a vote, then a final pitch and round.

HP won followed closely by Cisco. (My favorite line from the morning was when someone in the audience from Target (a runner-up) was overheard huffing “this wasn’t us, it was the agency.”)

This year’s panelists will be Zadi Diaz, video-auteur at EpicFu, Jeff Jarvis aka The Buzzmachine, Mike Monello, creative director at CampfireNYC and Blair Witch.

I had a bunch of great women in mind for the fourth panelist. Spoiled for choice, I’d like to throw the fourth seat open. The fourth panelist is whichever woman you nominate and select.

Go to the Suxorz Facebook group to make your nomination this topic thread. Then we’ll either have a vote among Suxorz FB members or throw it open to the whole world-wide web.

(Like the rest of the panel, she’ll be responsible for contributing a bunch of nominees to the FB page, pitching three of them on stage. She’ll get a SXSW badge and cover her own transport and lodging.)

Some recaps of ’07 from Scott Monty, BFG, Jess Kutch and mine. And a photo:

Suxorz Panel at SXSW by Rohit Bhargava.

Perezzies

by henrycopeland
Thursday, November 20th, 2008

After over 1.5 million nominees, you can now vote for the Perezzies. Here are my choices.

Hottest Hookup Biggest Breakup
Lindsay Lohan and Sa… Joe Jonas and Taylor…
Favorite Jonas Breakout Star of the Year
  Katy Perry
Baddest Bad Girl Biggest Scandal
Britney Spears Madonna and A-Rod’s …
Best Dressed Worst Dressed
Anne Hathaway Aubrey O’Day
Hottest Hottie Cutest Celebuspawn
Megan Fox Kingston Rossdale
Most Improved Worst Trainwreck
Paris Hilton Britney Spears
Most DVR-worthy Series Biggest Box Office Blowout
The Office The Dark Knight
Celeb of the Year  
Barack Obama  
Who would you vote for?
Go to PerezHilton.com to vote!

PR Week puts Perez on top

by henrycopeland
Thursday, November 20th, 2008

Surveying its readers, PR week discovered that their favorite newspaper was the New York Times, their favorite TV show was Mad Men, their favorite journalist was a tie between Thomas Friedman and Diane Sawyer and their favorite blog was… Perez Hilton. Gawker was the runner up.

Another nasty jump

by henrycopeland
Thursday, November 20th, 2008

“In the week ending Nov. 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 542,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 515,000. The 4-week moving average was 506,500, an increase of 15,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 490,750.”

We’re solidly in crisis territory. Previous peaks were:

10/82: 695,000
3/91: 509,000
9/01:517,000

Here’s a graph for historical context.

Citipulp

by henrycopeland
Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Citigroup, formerly the biggest financial institution in the world, fell 25% today. (Off 80% this year.)

Is this really just “the housing slump,” or did C and MET and others have lots of wrong way CDS bets on GM and others?

The last hurrah

by henrycopeland
Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

As shares in banks and insurance companies do a new nose dive, we have to ask: is this the beginning of the next leg down in the recession?

Banks, crippled and recrippled, will be in no position to lend. The government’s next logicl step is to send everyone with a Social Security number a check for $100k.

Gold, which has for weeks traded in sync with shares, seem to be decoupling and trading up as equities drop.

Is “the market” — a billion intuitions and actions distilled into a sequence of decisions and prices — realizing that inflation is the only way out of this mess? In theory, it should take years for this kind of scenario to play out, but gold’s price bears watching.

Hoder in jail

by henrycopeland
Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Wow, Hoder Derakhshan, the gentle godfather of Iranian blogging, has been tossed in jail as an Israeli spy.

Online ad growth hits wall

by henrycopeland
Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Looks like the boom times are officially over. Tech Crunch crunches some numbers and finds that the biggest folks online saw NO growth in Q3 versus last year. Q4 must surely be lower year over year, given what’s happened since October 1. Note that on inflation adjusted terms, this amounts to a 3 or 4% decline. (Via Mr. Golis.)


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