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Jealous McCain

by henrycopeland
July 22nd, 2008


I’m signed up for the John McCain campaign’s official newsletter and just got a note titled “The media is in love.”

It’s a bizarrely junior-highish screed, first suggesting cattily that “some may even say it’s a love affair” and then, casting caution to the wind, stating in the final paragraph, “The media is in love with Barack Obama.”

Boohoo.

Update July 29, 2008: Here’s some context for McCain’s bitterness about the press turning its affections towards Obama.

Can you get high-def in a post

by henrycopeland
July 22nd, 2008


Online advertising goes over the cliff edge?

by henrycopeland
July 21st, 2008


Google’s notice last week that its growth continues to slow got a lot of attention. A couple of other data-points to highlight:

a) ValueClick, a network focused on lead generation and display advertising, announced on Thursday that it no longer expects a strong second half (H2 is usually significantly stronger than H1.) It revised its projections for total ’08 revenues from $730-$745 million to $655-$675 million. Last year’s number was $665 million, so VCLK is saying it won’t grow. More details on their deceleration in online advertising.

b) Q1 ’08 was the first quarter in many in which online advertising shrunk relative to the previous quarter.

c) In other bad news for money-losing Internet companies praying they’ll be acquired before they run out of money, AOL, previously an acquirer, is desparately seeking its own corporate safe haven as its ad sales plateau.

Tech smackdown with Micah Sifry

by henrycopeland
July 19th, 2008


Watch Joe’s face for the moment when he realizes he’s run out of memory after 20 seconds of filming. Micah was using “qik” and amazing service that lets him broadcast live.

These are the good old days

by henrycopeland
July 16th, 2008


NPR ran a long feature this morning about how bad people think the economy is — gas prices cutting into wallets, falling house prices, health-care costs, tight credit, creeping inflation.

The real bad news is… we ain’t seen nothing yet. Unemployment is still beneath what used to be called “full employment.”

Labor and politicians could only dream of 5% unemployment in the 80s and 90s. Unless we see a massive boom in export manufacturing (vabuuely possible with the dollar at $1.60 to the euro) the unemployment rate is headed back towards 8%. At which point today’s chorus of woe is going to sound, retrospect, like “Yellow Submarine.”

Whose reality is it anyway?

by henrycopeland
July 15th, 2008


I was walking down mainstreet in Blowing Rock, NC Saturday and noticed a well-dressed middle-aged guy who had paused behind a parked mini-van. His leg was jerking a little and he looked like he was concentrating really hard. I asked whether he was OK and he said, loud and clear and coherently, “yes, I’m fine.”

I sat down on a bench not too far away and watched him. He started to lean on the van’s protruding spare tire and shove it. I went over and asked again, “are you OK?”

He said again, very clearly and in a normal voice “I’m fine.”

20 seconds later, he was flat on his back, looking up at the sky.

“I’m going call 911, OK?”

“No, I’m OK,” he said.

At this point, the guy is sweating and looking pale, so I said cognitive dissonance be damned and ignored his opinions and called 911. A woman stopped and asked the guy if he’s diabetic and he said yes; she gave him a peppermint. Two minutes later he’s sitting up, and the paramedics arrive. I head off to dinner.

Later I learned that diabetics suffering from extreme low blood sugar can become unrooted and report that they’re fine even as they’re melting down. I’m still unnerved by the memory of trying to square this guy’s disintegrating physical condition with his bald-faced statements to the contrary.

Socialist McCain poll on Linked-In

by henrycopeland
July 14th, 2008


I just took a McCain poll appearing on Linked-In. From a media perspective, the Linked-in poll idea is fascinating because once you respond, you get to see how other Linked-In users respond with results broken out by sex, age, industry. Wow, that’s powerful as a media experience for Linked-In and HUGE as a service for advertisers.

McCain poll on Linked-in

But right now, I’m particularly interested in the poll’s slant: “What has the most long-term potential to lower gas prices for Americans?”

The answers: “Oil exploration on US territories,” “Alternative energy research,” “Better Middle East Relations,” “Smaller vehicles,” and “I do not know.”

First, there’s no room for “other.” Second, most of the solutions imply, either directly or indirectly, government interaction. Third, the obvious answer, “the market,” is missing. The poll begs the question: is this a question a candidate needs to be thinking about?

If anything, the government should be raising prices on gas (through taxes) to help us all retool our life-styles to prepare for the day 10 weeks or 10 years from now when gas costs $10 a gallon. To those who say “if we save it the Chinese will burn it,” I’d say, “let the Chinese build their economy on waste and inefficiency, we’ll compete far better with them in ten years.”

In the long run, the best solution to high gas prices — the only real long-term solution — is higher gas prices in the short-term. People will stop driving SUVs, manufactures will rush to make batteries more efficient, entrepreneurs will figure out solar cells. There will be millions of solutions that no five-year-planning bureaucrat can imagine. And then the market will lower prices.

Old videos

by henrycopeland
June 28th, 2008


Anticipating a lighter, digital future, we cleaned out some shelves and boxes of old videos yesterday. Each group represented a different strata of our lives, and the tattered boxes are themselves chronicles of our loyal patronage for certain videos. The Sound of Music was a particular favorite. Here’s the list:

On our video stand:
Born Free
PBS Home video Liberty, the American revolution 1, 2, 3
Dennis the Menace: Walter Mathau
The mask of Zorro (Banderas, Zeta Jones)
Cats
Annie with Kathy Bates
Annie with Albert Finney, Carol Burnett
Star Wars 5
Harry Potter: Sorcerers stone
The Man from Laramie
Around the world in 80 days
MacKenna’s Gold
Star Wars 1
Alexander the Elephant who couldn’t eat peanuts

Old Box (most circa France):
The Sound of Music
Chitty Chitty Bang Bang
Mary Poppins
Secret Garden
Monkey Trouble
The Orchestra
The Graduate
Musee D’Orsay
Cousteau
Beatrix Potter Tales
The whole Musi collection
Dinosaur
Oliver
Tintin
Charlie Chaplin: La Gradne Revie de Charlot
Mousehunt
Louvre
Dr. Doolittle
Montee Python
Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory
The red balloon

Bloggers versus Associated Press

by henrycopeland
June 16th, 2008


The Associated Press sent blogger Rogers Cadenhead a letter Friday complaining that his DrudgeRetort.com was infringing their copyright on some stories.

Here’s excerpts from their note and Rogers’ response.

Over the weekend, bloggers left right and center swarmed against the AP, calling for a boycott of links to AP articles with links instead to Agence France-Press, Reuters, McClatchy, or IPS.

The reaction is centered at UnAssociatedPress.net.

Looks like Rogers and the AP have straightened things out, but no larger precedents have been set.

Apple day

by henrycopeland
June 9th, 2008


Nick Denton noted that tech bloggers don’t make extra money on “Apple day” when geeks go into a feeding frenzy for droplets of news from The Steve Jobs’ mouth. Denton blamed poor advertising inventory management tools — how to budget ad placements for 10X traffic?

But I think it’s also that few advertisers want to share the spotlight with Apple, lest they look wan in comparison. Taking a quick scroll around Engadget.com and Gizmodo.com and you see house ads with an occasional Microsoft Zune ad tossed in. Seems fitting that Microsoft is too clueless to be worried about being overshadowed by Steve Jobs.


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